Field guides

The frontier, field by field

Each guide is revised in place rather than replaced, and keeps a visible revision history. Start here when you want to know where something actually stands.

01Steady

Foundation Models

Capability gains now come as much from post-training and inference-time compute as from raw pre-training scale.

DeployedRev. 5 Oct 2026
02Accelerating

Reasoning

Spending more compute at inference time, through long internal reasoning trained with reinforcement learning, is the most important capability lever since scaling pre-training.

MaturingRev. 5 Oct 2026
03Accelerating

Agents

Agents are reliable inside well-instrumented environments such as codebases and browsers with clear goals. Open-ended autonomy over long horizons is still fragile.

EmergingRev. 5 Oct 2026
04Accelerating

AI Coding

Coding is the first domain where agents do substantial delegated work. The bottleneck has moved from writing code to reviewing and verifying it.

DeployedRev. 5 Oct 2026
05Steady

Multimodal

Understanding images and documents is routine, and real-time voice works. Video generation is impressive but hard to control precisely.

MaturingRev. 5 Oct 2026
06Steady

Memory & Retrieval

Retrieval-augmented generation is the standard enterprise pattern. The hard problem has shifted from finding text to deciding what an agent should remember.

MaturingRev. 5 Oct 2026
07Accelerating

Robotics & Embodied AI

Vision-language-action models show real generalisation in research. Deployment is held back by data, hardware cost and reliability.

ResearchRev. 5 Oct 2026
08Accelerating

Compute & Infrastructure

Inference, not training, increasingly dominates compute demand, driven by reasoning models and agents that use many tokens per task.

DeployedRev. 5 Oct 2026
09Accelerating

Alignment & Safety

Alignment is now part of the product. Techniques like RLHF and constitutional training shape every assistant, while interpretability and evaluation of dangerous capabilities are active frontiers.

EmergingRev. 5 Oct 2026
Reading the board

Stage

ResearchWorks in papers and demos; not yet dependable.
EmergingReal use by early adopters, with sharp edges.
MaturingDependable for well-understood tasks.
DeployedEveryday infrastructure for many people.